trade war

Is COVID-19 changing the dynamics of globalization?

I think we are going towards a new normal post COVID. Already damaged by the financial crash and the US- China trade war, the pandemic has dealt globalization another body-blow. When the world was hit by economic recession in 2008, global trade dipped by almost 10% in 2009 while there was a 3% decline in …

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election results

All eyes on election results- Who will cross the magic figure?

All eyes will currently be on the outcome of the election results on 23rd May 2019. Markets have been volatile for the last month as 7 phase polling continues. Last month NIFTY touched an all-time high of 11,856 while SENSEX touched a high of 39,487. Historically it has been seen that election outcome turns out …

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Gold

Gold as a hedge against global uncertainty

One of the main reasons to own gold right now is the rising risk of a potential meltdown in global equities that is likely to underperform over the next year in a global economic downturn led by an imploding China.  China is projected to announce a gross domestic product expansion target for 2019 of between …

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Equity markets

Panic sets in equity markets…

Equity markets have corrected over 10% the last month with USD-INR hitting new highs and crude prices scaling multi year highs. Rupee depreciated to above Rs.74/$ for the first time on 5th October 2018. Departing from the trend of the last few months, both large & mid-caps have declined last month driven by a sharp …

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Indian equity markets

Rupee accelerates, Crude boils…

Indian equity markets remained subdued over the last month with the broader markets gradually declining as USD-INR hit new highs and crude prices inched up. Rupee depreciated to Rs.72.50/$ for the first time on 10th September 2018. With the NIFTY/SENSEX move being driven by top 10 stocks, there has been a large gap created with …

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tariffs

Trade tariffs & counter tariffs

As the US nears mid-term elections vital for Trump’s legislative agenda, the White House will be ready to impose 10% tariffs on $200 bn of Chinese-made products, ranging from clothing to television parts to refrigerators by 30th August. The levies together with some $50 bn already in the works stand to raise import prices on …

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trade war

Will the US China trade war last?

Of late there has been tension brewing between the USA & China as they have been imposing tariffs & counter tariffs on imports from one another. But the real question is whether this trade war between the two countries will continue or will die a natural death. The background… The US trade deficit with China was $375 bn in 2017. The trade deficit exists …

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