Inflation

Inflation Recession

Inflation zooms-Recession looms

Markets are trading with a negative bias as index is around 16000 NIFTY levels. Higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of recession. Fed is again meeting on 25-26th July for another round of rate hike while RBI will meet in August. Given the high inflation print another 75-100 bps hike is …

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inflation spooks markets

Runaway inflation spooks markets

Markets are trading with a negative bias as index hit fresh 52-week lows ~15,300 NIFTY levels. Higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of stagflation. RBI increased repo rate by 50 bps on 6th June while FED increased rates by 75 bps on 15th June, the highest hike since 1994, to control …

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stagflation

Universal Stagflation

Markets corrected sharply over the last fortnight as higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of stagflation. Stagflation refers to an economy that has inflation, a slow or stagnant economic growth rate, and a relatively high unemployment rate. It presents a dilemma for economic policy, since actions intended to lower inflation may exacerbate unemployment. …

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Global Inflation

Global inflation spooks markets

Markets corrected marginally over the last month partly due to rise in global inflation & talks of interest rate hikes. Markets have corrected ~10% from all time highs. We expect 2022 to bring significant relief & hope for everyone due to economic revival, though inflation remains the primary concern. December quarter earnings have been mostly …

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inflation

Why gap between WPI and CPI based inflation is digressing

While the retail inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) touched a 16 month high at 4.62% in October, the wholesale price inflation measured by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) declined to a 40 month low of 0.16%, at the verge of entering the negative territory. The gap between the two is currently the widest in two …

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election results

All eyes on election results- Who will cross the magic figure?

All eyes will currently be on the outcome of the election results on 23rd May 2019. Markets have been volatile for the last month as 7 phase polling continues. Last month NIFTY touched an all-time high of 11,856 while SENSEX touched a high of 39,487. Historically it has been seen that election outcome turns out …

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Indian stock market

It’s the time to choose

Frontline indexes have been inching up over the last month as the NIFTY touched an all-time high of 11,761 while SENSEX touched a high of 39,270. Broader markets have recovered marginally but insignificant given the fall over the last year. Polling for general elections is underway from 11th April & we expect markets to be …

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cautiously optimistic 2019

Remain cautiously optimistic in 2019

Positive profit growth outlook, steady mutual fund flows, reasonable valuations & macro-economic indicators remaining stable augurs well for the markets. Short term investors should remain cautious as markets could be extremely volatile in the next couple of months but any intermittent volatility should be used as an opportunity by patient investors with medium to long term outlook to accumulate good quality stocks.

Equity markets

Equity markets in election mood

Equity markets have largely been range bound over the last month between 10,200 and 10,800. Though frontline stocks have largely been in a range, mid & small cap stocks have continued on the downward trend. This has been specially been happening in PSU stocks. With Congress doing better than expected in the just concluded state …

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