Inflation

global headwinds

Global headwinds restrain equities

Markets have been trading with a negative bias around 17000 levels. Globally high interest rates, high inflation, energy crisis in Europe & fears of recession are indicating to some tough times ahead. The dollar index has gone up to a two decade high of 113. Prices of crude among other metals & mining commodities are …

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FII buying indian markets

FIIs back in action in India

Markets bounced back sharply over the last month by over 10% to 17900 NIFTY levels. Lower 10 year g-sec rates & inflation globally have eased nerves to some extent. Given the lower inflation print we expect rate hikes to slow down over next 3 months. Prices of crude among other metals & mining commodities declined …

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Inflation Recession

Inflation zooms-Recession looms

Markets are trading with a negative bias as index is around 16000 NIFTY levels. Higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of recession. Fed is again meeting on 25-26th July for another round of rate hike while RBI will meet in August. Given the high inflation print another 75-100 bps hike is …

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inflation spooks markets

Runaway inflation spooks markets

Markets are trading with a negative bias as index hit fresh 52-week lows ~15,300 NIFTY levels. Higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of stagflation. RBI increased repo rate by 50 bps on 6th June while FED increased rates by 75 bps on 15th June, the highest hike since 1994, to control …

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stagflation

Universal Stagflation

Markets corrected sharply over the last fortnight as higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of stagflation. Stagflation refers to an economy that has inflation, a slow or stagnant economic growth rate, and a relatively high unemployment rate. It presents a dilemma for economic policy, since actions intended to lower inflation may exacerbate unemployment. …

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Global Inflation

Global inflation spooks markets

Markets corrected marginally over the last month partly due to rise in global inflation & talks of interest rate hikes. Markets have corrected ~10% from all time highs. We expect 2022 to bring significant relief & hope for everyone due to economic revival, though inflation remains the primary concern. December quarter earnings have been mostly …

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inflation

Why gap between WPI and CPI based inflation is digressing

While the retail inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) touched a 16 month high at 4.62% in October, the wholesale price inflation measured by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) declined to a 40 month low of 0.16%, at the verge of entering the negative territory. The gap between the two is currently the widest in two …

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election results

All eyes on election results- Who will cross the magic figure?

All eyes will currently be on the outcome of the election results on 23rd May 2019. Markets have been volatile for the last month as 7 phase polling continues. Last month NIFTY touched an all-time high of 11,856 while SENSEX touched a high of 39,487. Historically it has been seen that election outcome turns out …

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Indian stock market

It’s the time to choose

Frontline indexes have been inching up over the last month as the NIFTY touched an all-time high of 11,761 while SENSEX touched a high of 39,270. Broader markets have recovered marginally but insignificant given the fall over the last year. Polling for general elections is underway from 11th April & we expect markets to be …

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