FED

Indian stock markets

Time for laggards to catch up

Markets have been touching new 52-w highs over the last one month, NIFTY touching a high of 18887.  We may see some profit booking, given the global economic situation, though improving, is still in a precarious position. With inflation easing marginally in the US, we are close to peak interest rates globally. In India this …

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Is it necessary that the SENSEX will tank if there is a FED rate hike??? History says….DEFINITELY NOT!!!

There has been a lot of talk about a FED Rate hikes and its effects on the Indian markets. There may be some negative impact for a few days but history says that there has been no major impact on the Indian stock markets as evident from the chart below. Infact we have seen Indian markets …

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RBI rate hike

RBI Policy Review – No more accommodative

In an off-cycle meeting, the RBI raised the policy rate by 40 bps to 4.40%. Consequently, the SDF rate was increased to 4.15% and MSF rate to 4.65%. Yesterday’s surprise move is perhaps instigated by a couple of factors. Firstly, the 50 bps FED rate hike which came yesterday night. Secondly, the upcoming April inflation …

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Ukraine Russia

Russia shoots down Ukraine & markets

Markets corrected over the last month due to the Ukraine Russia conflict which has been going on for over a fortnight now. We expect markets to remain volatile till we have a resolution in place. Going ahead inflation remains the primary concern as crude is above $100/bbl. Corporate earnings need to improve in subsequent quarters …

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Global Inflation

Global inflation spooks markets

Markets corrected marginally over the last month partly due to rise in global inflation & talks of interest rate hikes. Markets have corrected ~10% from all time highs. We expect 2022 to bring significant relief & hope for everyone due to economic revival, though inflation remains the primary concern. December quarter earnings have been mostly …

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stock market uneasiness

Uneasiness persists in markets

Stock market Index- NIFTY/SENSEX sustained at significantly high levels, though the broader markets remain subdued. Markets have largely remained range bound over the last month but the euphoria seen in the index levels do not reflect in stocks beyond the top 10-15 stocks. Liquidity remains strong as seen from the oversubscription in IPOs over the …

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Indian stock market

One flag, one nation, one constitution

There has been a major sell-off in the Indian markets over the last month largely due to consistent selling by FPIs due to higher tax implication post budget. Thereafter the major topic of discussion has been how the government revoked article 370, which grants special status to Jammu & Kashmir on 5th August 2019. Ever …

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Gold

Gold as a hedge against global uncertainty

One of the main reasons to own gold right now is the rising risk of a potential meltdown in global equities that is likely to underperform over the next year in a global economic downturn led by an imploding China.  China is projected to announce a gross domestic product expansion target for 2019 of between …

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SAMVAT

SAMVAT 2075…the mega sale is on

The Year that was… SAMVAT 2074 was a bad year for the markets as NIFTY was largely flat yoy. Markets were supported by domestic liquidity due to strong monthly inflows into equity mutual funds. Net inflows into equity MF in last 12 months were to the tune of Rs.1,20,000 cr. FIIs in contrast have been …

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markets

Crash course of overheated markets

As we draw close to the current financial year, markets have corrected ~10% from recent all-time high NIFTY of 11,171 touched on 29th January 2018. The markets & especially mid & small-caps were overvalued & some price rationalization is happening. The increasing trend in 10 year g-sec rates in both India & the USA are …

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