CPI

Inflation Recession

Inflation zooms-Recession looms

Markets are trading with a negative bias as index is around 16000 NIFTY levels. Higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of recession. Fed is again meeting on 25-26th July for another round of rate hike while RBI will meet in August. Given the high inflation print another 75-100 bps hike is …

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inflation spooks markets

Runaway inflation spooks markets

Markets are trading with a negative bias as index hit fresh 52-week lows ~15,300 NIFTY levels. Higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of stagflation. RBI increased repo rate by 50 bps on 6th June while FED increased rates by 75 bps on 15th June, the highest hike since 1994, to control …

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stagflation

Universal Stagflation

Markets corrected sharply over the last fortnight as higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of stagflation. StagflationĀ refers to an economy that has inflation, a slow or stagnant economic growth rate, and a relatively high unemployment rate. It presents a dilemma forĀ economic policy, since actions intended to lower inflation may exacerbate unemployment. …

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Inflation global

Global Inflation drives G-Sec yields

Markets have been range bound over the last month as inflation increased leading to increase in 10 year G-sec rates globally. NIFTY & SENSEX were up 19.4% & 17.5% in FY 22. This move has largely been driven by DIIs due to strong inflows into mutual funds which offset strong FII outflows over last year. …

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Ukraine Russia

Russia shoots down Ukraine & markets

Markets corrected over the last month due to the Ukraine Russia conflict which has been going on for over a fortnight now. We expect markets to remain volatile till we have a resolution in place. Going ahead inflation remains the primary concern as crude is above $100/bbl. Corporate earnings need to improve in subsequent quarters …

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Global Inflation

Global inflation spooks markets

Markets corrected marginally over the last month partly due to rise in global inflation & talks of interest rate hikes. Markets have corrected ~10% from all time highs. We expect 2022 to bring significant relief & hope for everyone due to economic revival, though inflation remains the primary concern. December quarter earnings have been mostly …

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Bull 2021

The bull on the rampage in 2021

Markets remain buoyant as both NIFTY & SENSEX reclaimed 18,000 & 60,000 levels. For CY21 the NIFTY was up by 24.1% while SEXSEX was up by 22% for the full year. Markets have been quite resilient through the year despite the 2nd covid wave as markets have hardly corrected 10% at any point of time. …

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Omicron variant

New Omicron variant unsettles markets

Markets have corrected ~8-9% from all-time highs due to fears of the new Omicron variant. Liquidity remains strong on the domestic front though we are witnessing strong foreign outflows. The markets look over heated at the moment and a marginal correction cannot be ruled out. How new cases relating to the new variant plays out …

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beyond covid

Looking beyond COVID

Markets were range bound over the last month as NIFTY & SENSEX consolidated around 18,000 & 60,000 respectively. COVID numbers have also been declining gradually as vaccinations pick up. Liquidity remains strong on the domestic front though we are witnessing some foreign outflows. The markets look over heated at the moment. We have just concluded …

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markets festive mood

Markets in festive mood

Markets remained buoyant as NIFTY & SENSEX hit new highs with NIFTY above 18,500 & SENSEX above 61,000 for the first time ever. Liquidity remains strong both on the domestic front as well as foreign flows. The markets look over heated at the moment. We are in the midst of Q2 corporate earnings season & …

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