stagflation

Universal Stagflation

Markets corrected sharply over the last fortnight as higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of stagflation. Stagflation refers to an economy that has inflation, a slow or stagnant economic growth rate, and a relatively high unemployment rate. It presents a dilemma for economic policy, since actions intended to lower inflation may exacerbate unemployment. …

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RBI rate hike

RBI Policy Review – No more accommodative

In an off-cycle meeting, the RBI raised the policy rate by 40 bps to 4.40%. Consequently, the SDF rate was increased to 4.15% and MSF rate to 4.65%. Yesterday’s surprise move is perhaps instigated by a couple of factors. Firstly, the 50 bps FED rate hike which came yesterday night. Secondly, the upcoming April inflation …

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Inflation global

Global Inflation drives G-Sec yields

Markets have been range bound over the last month as inflation increased leading to increase in 10 year G-sec rates globally. NIFTY & SENSEX were up 19.4% & 17.5% in FY 22. This move has largely been driven by DIIs due to strong inflows into mutual funds which offset strong FII outflows over last year. …

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Jindal Drilling

Jindal Drilling & Industries Ltd – Drilling deep

Jindal Drilling & Industries Limited (JDIL), a part of the D.P. Jindal Group, is a leading company in offshore drilling in India’s Oil & Gas sector for over 30 years.  It provides horizontal and directional drilling services, using positive pulse telemetry based MWD systems and steerable downhole mud motors. JDIL, in Nov 2021, acquired an …

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Ukraine Russia

Russia shoots down Ukraine & markets

Markets corrected over the last month due to the Ukraine Russia conflict which has been going on for over a fortnight now. We expect markets to remain volatile till we have a resolution in place. Going ahead inflation remains the primary concern as crude is above $100/bbl. Corporate earnings need to improve in subsequent quarters …

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Global Inflation

Global inflation spooks markets

Markets corrected marginally over the last month partly due to rise in global inflation & talks of interest rate hikes. Markets have corrected ~10% from all time highs. We expect 2022 to bring significant relief & hope for everyone due to economic revival, though inflation remains the primary concern. December quarter earnings have been mostly …

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Bull 2021

The bull on the rampage in 2021

Markets remain buoyant as both NIFTY & SENSEX reclaimed 18,000 & 60,000 levels. For CY21 the NIFTY was up by 24.1% while SEXSEX was up by 22% for the full year. Markets have been quite resilient through the year despite the 2nd covid wave as markets have hardly corrected 10% at any point of time. …

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Invest before the bull recovers

Invest before the bull recovers

There has been a sharp correction in stock markets over the last 2 months as the NIFTY has corrected over 10% from highs of 18604 hit on 18th October 2021. SENSEX hit a high of 62245 similarly. They are currently around 16800 & 56000 respectively. The rapidly spreading Omicron variant continues to spook investors as …

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Omicron variant

New Omicron variant unsettles markets

Markets have corrected ~8-9% from all-time highs due to fears of the new Omicron variant. Liquidity remains strong on the domestic front though we are witnessing strong foreign outflows. The markets look over heated at the moment and a marginal correction cannot be ruled out. How new cases relating to the new variant plays out …

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beyond covid

Looking beyond COVID

Markets were range bound over the last month as NIFTY & SENSEX consolidated around 18,000 & 60,000 respectively. COVID numbers have also been declining gradually as vaccinations pick up. Liquidity remains strong on the domestic front though we are witnessing some foreign outflows. The markets look over heated at the moment. We have just concluded …

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