ECONOMICS

Is it necessary that the SENSEX will tank if there is a FED rate hike??? History says….DEFINITELY NOT!!!

There has been a lot of talk about a FED Rate hikes and its effects on the Indian markets. There may be some negative impact for a few days but history says that there has been no major impact on the Indian stock markets as evident from the chart below. Infact we have seen Indian markets …

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global headwinds

Global headwinds restrain equities

Markets have been trading with a negative bias around 17000 levels. Globally high interest rates, high inflation, energy crisis in Europe & fears of recession are indicating to some tough times ahead. The dollar index has gone up to a two decade high of 113. Prices of crude among other metals & mining commodities are …

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india blooms, global recession

India blooms – Global recession looms

Markets have been volatile between 17400 to 18100 levels. Globally high inflation, energy crisis in Europe & fears of recession are indicating to some tough times ahead. The dollar index has gone up to a two decade high of 110.  Prices of crude among other metals & mining commodities are on a downward trend due …

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FII buying indian markets

FIIs back in action in India

Markets bounced back sharply over the last month by over 10% to 17900 NIFTY levels. Lower 10 year g-sec rates & inflation globally have eased nerves to some extent. Given the lower inflation print we expect rate hikes to slow down over next 3 months. Prices of crude among other metals & mining commodities declined …

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Inflation Recession

Inflation zooms-Recession looms

Markets are trading with a negative bias as index is around 16000 NIFTY levels. Higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of recession. Fed is again meeting on 25-26th July for another round of rate hike while RBI will meet in August. Given the high inflation print another 75-100 bps hike is …

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inflation spooks markets

Runaway inflation spooks markets

Markets are trading with a negative bias as index hit fresh 52-week lows ~15,300 NIFTY levels. Higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of stagflation. RBI increased repo rate by 50 bps on 6th June while FED increased rates by 75 bps on 15th June, the highest hike since 1994, to control …

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stagflation

Universal Stagflation

Markets corrected sharply over the last fortnight as higher interest rates & inflation globally have led to fears of stagflation. Stagflation refers to an economy that has inflation, a slow or stagnant economic growth rate, and a relatively high unemployment rate. It presents a dilemma for economic policy, since actions intended to lower inflation may exacerbate unemployment. …

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RBI rate hike

RBI Policy Review – No more accommodative

In an off-cycle meeting, the RBI raised the policy rate by 40 bps to 4.40%. Consequently, the SDF rate was increased to 4.15% and MSF rate to 4.65%. Yesterday’s surprise move is perhaps instigated by a couple of factors. Firstly, the 50 bps FED rate hike which came yesterday night. Secondly, the upcoming April inflation …

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Inflation global

Global Inflation drives G-Sec yields

Markets have been range bound over the last month as inflation increased leading to increase in 10 year G-sec rates globally. NIFTY & SENSEX were up 19.4% & 17.5% in FY 22. This move has largely been driven by DIIs due to strong inflows into mutual funds which offset strong FII outflows over last year. …

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